{"product_id":"you-cannot-predict-the-future-9781732586406","title":"You Cannot Predict the Future","description":"\u003cp\u003eAlmost all activities in contemporary software projects try to predict the future - analyzing, architecting, programming, testing, budgeting, and scheduling. Since nobody can yet reliably predict the future, those activities cannot possibly work as well as desired.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eUnknowns: \u003c\/em\u003e Unknowns lie at the root of all software problems, otherwise someone could just fix them. Unknowns make bugs and enhancements inevitable.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eBride-of-Agile: \u003c\/em\u003e Sponsoring-organization obligations to projects concern politics and resources. Bride-of-Agile practices include working through continual change, fostering diversity and debate, and dealing with problem stakeholders.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eDeterminism versus Emergence: \u003c\/em\u003e Determinism enables productive use of existing tools and practices. Emergence provides opportunities to write new programs that will benefit others. Recent skirmishes between Waterfall and Agile extend the 2500-year-long battle within philosophy and science over causality and free will.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003ePolish versus Rot: \u003c\/em\u003e The Sunrise problem sheds light on the concept of \u003cem\u003egood enough for now\u003c\/em\u003e. Quality improves through polish - analysis, programming, and testing. Quality worsens through rot - changing expectations, usages, and technologies. Technical debt embodies the economic tradeoffs of deferring polish and rot.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cem\u003eCoping with Surprise: \u003c\/em\u003e Subjective search underlies Agile and Bride-of-Agile practices, helping everyone to be less wrong and to cope with surprises. Plans are essential but, alas, even the best laid plans go oft astray.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eBinding Type:\u003c\/b\u003e Paperback\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublisher:\u003c\/b\u003e Annoying Critters Press\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublished:\u003c\/b\u003e 10\/12\/2018\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN:\u003c\/b\u003e 9781732586406\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePages:\u003c\/b\u003e 162\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eWeight:\u003c\/b\u003e 0.86lbs\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eSize:\u003c\/b\u003e 11.00h x 8.50w x 0.35d","brand":"Raccoonosaur,Puppydogosaur","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":52284226830517,"sku":"9781732586406","price":16.96,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0473\/0804\/6492\/files\/img_19113eed-2801-4c29-b268-df276aeac0bd.jpg?v=1771990264","url":"https:\/\/pastforward.org\/products\/you-cannot-predict-the-future-9781732586406","provider":"Past Forward","version":"1.0","type":"link"}